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General notice on Breakout stocks: I will be restricting my free picks to those previously provided to my Subscribers first. My blog will become my primary source of free stock picks. Subscribers to my newsletter (subscribe by filling out a payment scheme in the right-hand blue box) will receive regular stock picks at least four times a week via the newsletter. Subscribers to my trading porftolio will receive real-time trade signals. In addition, subscribers to my Collective2 portfolio will have the option to receive the newsletter at no additional cost. The monthly subscription for the Collective2 portfolio is $19.95, charged during profitable months only.

Breakouts for May 4th : The first pick, SJM, is on its fourth appearance in the newsletter. The stock is not a technical breakout but now is a good time to raise former stops to the current level. A breakout will be defined by a close over $57.09. I have not changed the price target as declining volume on each new high is somewhat of a concern to bulls. On the news front, the company completed the acquisition of Eagle Family Foods Holdings for $133m cash. The MACD is in consolidation after a 'sell' trigger, but remains above support. The bullish trend has stayed strong as marked by an ADX above 40 and 7 weeks of overbought stochastics, but this too looks to be coming to an end. The point-n-figure chart holds to an ascending triple top breakout from February 16th with a price target of $62. The second pick, NTLS, cleared $20.80 resistance on the back of Q1 earnings and was accompanied by a fresh MACD 'buy' trigger. However, the MACD needs to be watched as it is nestled against the bearish divergence. On-balance-volume and bullish trend strength [+DI; ADX > 20 and rising] are improving which are two factors in favor of a break of the MACD bearish divergence. Thursday's break looks to kick start the October 2006 rally as it was accompanied by an ascending triple top breakout on the point-n-figure chart with a chart target of $37.50. The third pick, PQ, reversed a bear trap on the break of $11.75 support and subsequent counter rally. The upside move cleared both the 50-day and 200-day MAs after the former had crossed the latter as part of a "Golden Cross" (a bullish long term signal). The trigger for the move was Q1 earnings. As with the second pick there was a fresh MACD trigger 'buy' (but also a bearish divergence in the trigger line to consider) and a new reaction high in bullish trend strength [+DI; ADX < 20 and rising - but no confirmed bull trend yet]. On-balance-volume has run in favor of accumulation, which should strengthen the bull trend. The point-n-figure chart has a bearish target of $7.00 and it will take a move to $15 to negate.

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For those who prefer to set their own price targets the table opposite represents the frequency for a given % return (taken from maximum highs) assuming a fill at at the stated "Buy" price on the open (i.e. the prior days close). The return per trade from 5% risk is typical of what my subscribers can expect from their picks. The return per trade from 10% risk is what one can expect from my free stock picks. Returns will be higher on fills below my "Buy" price

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96% of featured stocks turn a profit greater than or equal to break even, assuming a fill at the prior day's close. 91% of featured stocks return a profit of 1% or more assuming a fill at the prior's day close; 78% of picks return a profit of 2% or more. 92% of featured plays are completed within a 6-month time frame. Stocks which are still in play beyond 6-months are usually experiencing strong rallies. Returns will be higher on fills below my "Buy" price

Buy	Stop	Target	Support	Resistance	Risk:Reward	Yield
$12.49	$11.29	$19.21	$12.32	$14.26	5.6	B+

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